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20121130
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Search Results 0 to 49 of about 51 (some duplicates have been removed)
the president will carry nevada. some republicans push back but let's give nevada to the president. hypothetical here, folks. that would put the president at 243 to 206. you need 270 to win. let's see if romney can find the magic to get to 270. the state of iowa, the president will end there. that's his final rally. the president with a lead there. it's small. the romney campaign says it's still in play but the president has consistently led by a small margin. you will see more and more of that across the midwest. you mentioned governor romney going to cleveland tomorrow. let's look at the latest polling in ohio. no republican ever won the white house without it. mathematically can he get there without it, yes. is it probable, no. here's the latest poll of polls. cnn putting together the average of seven public polls, 50-47. so a very competitive race but again, the president has consistently been ahead by a couple in ohio. governor romney needs to win on the ground and win big on the ground tomorrow to carry that state. in a close election like this, sometimes the little guys matter. new hampsh
this early vote has turned out. look at this. colorado, 77% has already voted. nevada. 72%. north carolina, 63% has already voted. in florida 53%. iowa 44%. and ohio 31%. john dickerson and i were talking about this earlier today. we could have most of the results already by the people that have come out early and that's why the campaigns spent so much time on getting out the vote early, this ground game on these early votes. >> pelley: we'll come back to you early and often. john dickerson is our cbs news political director. john is going to be showing us the various ways that the candidates can get to the 270 electoral votes necessary to twin presidency. john? >> well, first, scott, let's follow up on what bob was saying. we're going to dispatch with 41 of the states, the majority of the country cbs estimates based on the polling that those states are either going to go to barack obama or to mitt romney. that gives barack obama a start where he's likely to get 237 electoral votes, mitt romney is likely to get 191 electoral votes. so here we are at the beginning of the evening, nothing ha
, this is without nevada, this puts him at 271, this what is they believe is their fastest, most narrowest path. now, why is romney doing what he's doing with florida today? virginia. don't forget north carolina is one that they're counting on. new hampshire and then ohio. because ohio, look at that, it's right on the number. if all the states he visits today he carries, that's what he's doing. both of them are visiting, andrea, their narrowest paths to 270. i took you to the 271 path for the president, and then you saw the 270 path if you will for romney. now everything in between, what's a great night for the president, take you to that quickly. that would mean, winning ohio, but the one state i think they feel the least bit about is in north carolina. leave florida in romney's column. i think ultimately this is what we're looking at. something right in the 300 range is most realistic good night for the president. you go to mitt romney and what they think their most realistic be good night and why you see he has a little higher ceiling, bring these states back, virginia, iowa, which by the way i t
quite well in the polls coming in the southwest, as well, new mexico, nevada and colorado. >> the democrats have always believed that you have to enlarge the electorate. you have to reach out to women. you have to reach out to minorities. but more importantly, i wanted to bring this in. in 1992 in the bill clinton campaign, the white electorate, 87%, by 2000 for al gore, 81%. today, in the 2008 campaign, 74% of the electorate and today, 72%. so it's declining, the minority population is increasing. >> okay, i want to go now and give you a projection. it is north carolina coming in for governor romney. again, we had seen him a bit ahead there and there it is, it is a switch, of course, president obama won it narrowly back in 2008 but now it goes to governor romney. >> this was not a state that president obama was counting on but certainly one they were hoping for because they had invested so much time. >> convention. >> in that ground game in north carolina, also having the convention at charlotte but it was not to be. governor romney holding on to that state tonight and lo
nevada, those four states, romney could win with pennsylvania and then the other swing states. >> virginia -- >> and florida. it's not his best -- it's not where he would want to be at this point in the campaign. but looking at where the polls have been in ohio all year, i think they think it's worth a shot. >> you think it makes a difference on the last day, the day people are voting for a candidate to show up in pennsylvania and ohio? >> here's the thing about that. in those other states, early voting is well under way and most of each sides' votes have already been banked. pennsylvania doesn't have a big early voting program. so everyone that's going to vote in pennsylvania is going to vote on tuesday. so he might think, maybe this is my chance, i have a captive audience there because obama hasn't been there much. and i've got more votes that are available to me in pennsylvania. >> we're all spending so much time thinking about ohio. but is there another state you're looking at closely right now? >> the thing i'm looking at is some of these states where hispanics are a risi
strong about our operations, particularly in states like ohio, iowa, north carolina, nevada with americans are actually casting ballots already and the president has a 2-1 advantage amongst those who have already voted. but as the romney campaign and the super pacs are on the air and we're showing that we have the ability to go deep and broad as well and we're not leaving a single vote on the table. we feel great about our ground game. i was watching the bill clinton/president obama rally last night and it had all the feel of classic bill clinton. the president got pumped up by that as well. bill clinton lost his voice, but that didn't slow him down or shorten his speech at all. we heard everything, including don't stop thinking about tomorrow. there was a lot of nostalgia going on. tell me about that relationship. because it's been fraught with difficulty and we all know what it was like four years ago. there was a lot of tension and it didn't get repaired that easily. >> yesterday it was great, nobody makes a closing argument better than bill clinton does. andrea, somebody
. they look at iowa, they look at wisconsin nevada and new hampshire and they think those states are in their column. they're incredibly confident as of this moment that they look at ohio and that's the next highest level of confidence they have what mark said is right. they feel the bain ads did damage to romney. we're going to look back one day on the fact that governor romney wrote his op-ed in the "new york times" that said "let detroit go bankrupt." he wrote that op-ed in november of 2008 right at the endof -- right after the presidential campaign in 2008, long before he was an announced candidate and it could been the most important thing to his detriment that he did. he did it almost four years ago but it's been very hard for him to overcome that. it's also the case that ohio is different in the sense that the white working class voters in ohio are more unionized than any other state in the country and what we're seeing across the midwest is that white working class voters in the northwest the rust belt are just different in terms of their attitude towards president obama
: colorado, florida, ohio, new hampshire, north carolina, michigan, nevada, pennsylvania, virginia, and wisconsin. bob, i point out dana referenced a column, who thinks it will be 315 to 223 for obama and rollins was in the green room and he said he is the best in the business and he has never gotten it wrong. what do you make of that prediction in bob: it is significant. but he has gotten it wrong a few times. if i were in, and he is doing what he is doing, now, he clearly has a side and i would look at the happy side, the happy side from my side and right now obama is ahead in eight of the 11 target points. >> but democrats trail in target states i mentioned but especially virginia, ohio, iowa and nevada. early absentee voting is not where it was for democrats in 2008. >> we had a thing back and forth and every single one of these is a toss up. each one. including pennsylvania. but, tomorrow, mitt romney 8 be in virginia, virginia, ohio, and new hampshire. look at states, and he has virginia, he has to work on ohio, and new hampshire is a toss up. bob: why he is going there? >> h
they went to nevada, colorado, iowa, wisconsin, ohio, virginia and new hampshire and these are the ones who have been the surrogates with mrs. obama, no, my husband is not a cold fish. we have dinner every night with the kids. you should know him. you should see that smile. i love him. you should love him. mrs. romney who is very close to her husband in the strategy, she plays a bigger role than just being the wife of, she is the one who said, he is not a stiff man. look at us. and, by the way, you talked about the grandchildren. there are 18 grandchildren. 13 of them are boys. >> all right. let us put that to the decision desk and see what that means. okay, barbara, stand by, team. we know you have so much more you're eager to say and we'll take a break at election night headquarters 2012 reporting on one of the great nights in democracy, one of the great privileges it is to vote as the polls still are open and a lot of this country projections come in and we have more, of course, to report on what social media is saying when we come back. >> announcer: multitouchscenes courtesy of microso
view, alex, is that the western states of nevada and colorado with a huge hispanic vote and the support the president has from the hispanic community is a huge factor. in florida i can't predict. it's very close there. but it's up to the ground game. what i have seen, for instance, in florida the volunteers and campaigns of president obama four years ago it was mostly young people. this time it's more people, but young people, senior citizens, soccer moms, veterans, a larger turnout getting out that vote. and i think that's what's going to be decisive. >> you know what's interesting about the hispanic vote, there are 4 million more registered la kn tee knows. but i want to ask about your state. how do you think the president is going to perform in swing states like colorado and nevada? >> well, my view is that that hispanic vote, which is key in my state with 43%, it's key in nevada and colorado upwards of 20%, is going to come out in huge turnout because of the president's strong records are hispanics on job creation, health care, and immigration reform. and the perception that the rom
battleground states pretty much in the bag. they think nevada, wisconsin, iowa, and new hampshire are all pretty much in the president's column. they feel like ohio is almost certain to go for them. and that, obviously, would give them more than 270 electoral votes there. they think they are a little ahead in virginia. i feel pretty confident about virginia, they think colorado and florida are -- they think colorado and florida are pure toss-ups right now. they could win those, they might lose them and as i said, north carolina's the only one of the nine battleground states where they are pessimistic, but the rest they feel good about. and when you think about that altogether, that's why they feel really self-assured they're going to win the electoral college tonight if not the popular vote. >> can you imagine? to finish out the two tiny villages in new hampshire, 23 votes for president obama, nine for romney, and tonight, the polls begin closing in eastern in kentucky at 6:00 eastern time. our first big clue on how the election might unfold will come at 7:00 when the polls close in anoth
on me. >> nevada. >> nevada. close but to dean heller. >> all right. next one? >> ohio. it's closed up but brown wins. >> does he outperform the president by what, two points? >> i don't know. >> yeah, yeah. >> if you were to guess, it's going to be a tight race? >> florida, nelson beats mak. then we get to virginia. >> where are you there? >> i guess i would give kane maybe a tiny finger on the scale. >> give it to blue? >> i don't know. >> we'll put it there for now. that gets us through the presidential toss-ups. let's go to the red states if you will. these are a ton of great states. >> flake wins. >> montana, that's scary. everybody, both sides say it's really too close. >> the libtarian candidate is going to make the winning number. >> it could. >> i guess he gets a couple. this guy john tester up a point or two and the question is does that save him? let's do edge tester. >> all right. next one? north dakota right next door. >> berg wins. it's very very close. >> the same way you feel about montana. >> yeah. >> not quite as close. >> yeah. >> let's stick in the red states. nebra
, nevada, new hampshire. i think we've got an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. it also could be close. but the firewall here of ohio, wisconsin, iowa -- >> talk to your stake holders. tell them what they should do on tuesday. >> if you can vote early, vote earlier. but don't just vote, bring your mom, your dad, bring your cousin, knock on the door of your neighbor. the middle depends on it. >> vice president joe biden, thank you for your time. good luck. >>> north carolina and colorado look pretty tough. coming up, where does the race stand? we have the results of the latest and last poll before the election. that's next. and we have our top people here tonight. chuck todd, howard fineman, eugene robinson and others. the big question is about big bill. if president obama does win re-election tuesday night, the person he can thank the most perhaps probably is the guy he was campaigning with in new hampshire, bill clinton, the big dog could be the one who pulls him over the finish line. >>> and guess who on the romney team is bad mouthing chris chris
of nevada. north carolina group known as alley pack plans to file a complaint that illegal immigrants are being allowed to vote. in a letter to nevada's secretary of state, they claim illegals are intentionally being register to do pressured to vote. they go on to say if not for this process, democratic senate majority leader harry reid would have never been relie detectorred back in 2010 -- elected in 2010. no comment from the secretary's office. >>> on the benghazi, libya terrorist attack, sources say the white house had to see the classified cable warning or consulate could in the defend against coordinated attack. one former top intelligence official says, quote, the national security council sees everything. if libya was of interest to this administration, the staff saw it. the cable was sent to the office of secretary of state hillary clinton august 16, less than one month before the attack. >>> frustrated drivers still waiting for hours in gas lines that don't move. to make matters worse, triple a says gas in new york city went up by an average of 9 cents a gallon. there has be
. this is not colorado or nevada or mexico. nonetheless, hispanics in virginia, as in many of the other states, to be very heavily democratic. and so, to the extent they turn out, even if they are only 4% of the statewide votes in any given year, they can assist democrats. let me mention asian americans, because they have become increasingly important in virginia, even though they are a small percentage of the population and the registered population. in northern virginia in particular, they have become exceptionally active. they give a lot of money to candidates. they are predominantly democratic, although slices of the asian-american population, such as vietnamese americans, will support republicans. it goes to show that in a diverse population, virginia has become tremendously diverse. when i was growing up, the white turnout on election day was about 85% of the total. as i mentioned, it's low 70's today. that makes a giant difference. you can tell it in the election results. even a small slice of the population can have a big impact in a state that is increasingly diverse and increasingly
new hampshire, pennsylvania, wisconsin, iowa, colorado, nevada, any of those. >> five. >> in the 3-2-1 strategy be virginia is one of the three. if you don't win virginia, how much of a problem? >> they're blocked. that is the strategy -- a lot of the electoral strategy was to block romney in the 3-2-1. can they block him in ohio and win that? can they block him in virginia? if they win virginia or ohio, either one, starts to make it tough. unless some other -- you start to change the strategy. >> quickly, virginia must-win for romney? >> it would be great to win it. historically republican. the opposite strategy is not only focus on 3-2-1 but keep broadening the battlefield. wisconsin, pennsylvania, iowa, colorado, nevada, new hampshire, minnesota. states that come in to play at one time or another. and so you would never want to be only have, one group of states you want as many alternatives as possible. insurance policies if you will. >> so, space cowboys you can stand down for a moment and crumple numbers. calling your sources. bret, it's 3-2-1 or it isn't. >> bret: there you g
vote more than once. this is roxene reuben trying to vote twice. nevada woman cast a ballot on monday and tried to vote at another location later in the day. a worker turned her away after a routine check showed she had already voted. she has been charged with a felony. >> steve: maybe she forgot. meanwhile in massachusetts, a town they are using the word illegal is now illegal. the word was banned in the town of summerville when describing immigrants. the mayor outlawed the illegal word after a group of teenagers argued it was a hurtful term. instead the group wants the term to be used undocumented. the mayor says he wants summerville to be a city of hope for undocumented immigrants and legal immigrants around the world. >> brian: spanish passenger kicked off of her flight because of a book. airlines booted her off because she was breaking one piece of hand luggage rule. the book and scroll she was carrying couldn't fit in her bag. she claimed her credit card wasn't working so she couldn't pay the excess baggage fee. they defend their actions. >> steve: a book counts as one of the pi
westward to iowa, wisconsin, nevada, colorado, for it to be a relevant, plausible path for him to get to 270 electoral votes. i still think ohio, virginia and without florida, ohio and virginia probably don't matter. >> let's hope we're not bogged down in electoral challenges in florida and ohio with all the lines. >> a clean vote is what we want where everyone who wants to vote is able to vote. the most important thing. i also think a clean result, in that it's very clear one side or the other. you might not like the result, but it's clear more people voted and more electoral votes went to one of the two candidates. i think that's probably a good thing for whether you're a partisan on the left or right. >> don't forget, house races, senate races, governor races, ballot initiatives, a lot to vote for. take your time and vote. that does it for us on this edition on election day on andrea mitt he chel reports. next stephanie cutter and chris van hollen and my xlej subpoena here next. make sure you vote. we'll be here all day and night with results. we're going to try to stump some polit
are michigan and nevada and new mexico. the reason i believe that is if you read the distorted media polls, most of them start off with a far too many democrats and far too few republicans. the latest pew survey has a national margin of 3 points for obama has 4 points more democrats than republicans. but the gallup poll which is the most authoritative last week concluded that there were now three points more republicans than democrats in the country. so it's d-4 and the reality is r-3. so it's a 7-points distortion. so if you are showing romney losing by 3 he's running by 4. if you take the finding in the pew poll that republicans are 6% more likely to turn out than democrats. so instead of it being plus 7, instead of switching to it a romney win by 4, you now have a romney win by 6 or 7. and then you take the undecided vote which always goes against the i am couple bent. you allocate it 2 to 1 for romney you are talking about a win of 7-10 points. if you go through each of the states you can do a similar calculation. i don't want to exaggerate by saying 5 or more. but i think you will be
what it's been like. i just had a telephone call with a lot of people in nevada. we were talking about challenges there and their home values are down and people are having a hard time making ends meet. the median income in america has dropped over $4,000 in the last four years. they are earning less than four years ago. the same time cost of gasoline has gone up $2,000 a family, health insurance premiums are up, groceries are up. these are tough times for america. so my plan to create 12 million jobs is needed and needed now. it has five parts which number one we're going to take full advantage of our energy, our oil, our coal, our gas. [applause] and that creates a lot of jobs. not just in the energy sector but in places that use energy, manufacturing for instance uses a lot of energy in many cases and by having low cost energy and we have it and will continue to have it if we take advantage of these resources. you're going to see manufacturing come back to this country. this is big for our country. that's number one. number two, it's a very helpful thing if a nation has the most pro
. president obama held on in nevada. why? for years no primary challenge. remember, they spent money, they identified, they turned out all the latino voters. colorado, suburban voters, latino voters. the president held onto that one. you were impressed by it, they outhustled governor romney. they held onto iowa, a state governor romney was so confident they were going to get. the republican governor put registration at parody. the republicans thought they could get it. they got outhustled again. wisconsin, the paul ryan pick was not enough. state blue dna. >> scott walker won would have a shot. >> one lesson we learn second-degree that mid-term elections are not presidential elections. obama people said african-american turnout will come back and it did. latino would come back, and it did. this is what you end up with. all of the states i turned blue were states at one point or another the romney campaign felt comfortable and a few felt very comfortable about. president obama outhustled them and ran the board. the luxury of no primary, all that spending on turnout. but look, they wer
that is looking very difficult to call at this point and should be a good one to watch is nevada. another presidential battleground state. i think at this point, most people think obama has a little bit of an edge there, but the republican has shown some ability to get democratic votes and people think he will run ahead of mitt romney in the state. that is a state where ticket splitters could make a difference in the senate race and that has been an incredibly close senate race as well. >> is there anything that would surprise you coming out of election night? >> although people thought republicans would gain control of the senate for a very long time in the beginning of this cycle, at this point, i think republicans actually picking up the four seats they need to gain senate control would really surprise me. they have had a few different things working against them. there have been some flawed candidates like todd akin and richard mourdock. those were races that the republicans were expected to win and now mr. looks like a democratic pickup. it looks more likely the democrats will hold t
they need to come back here one more time. we go to nevada, then ohio, then florida, ohio. then virginia, then ohio. they feel like even though they have got an event this afternoon at the airport in columbus they need to come back here one more time. very unusual for a presidential candidate to come out to do an event on election day. typically they wrap up around midnight as governor romney is planning to tonight in manchester, new hampshire with kid rock and others and go back to the home base and sit there and go vote. they wait for election results to come in that night. governor romney and his campaign feeling because they feel like they could grab ohio? they have been very confident about that with their conversations with me or they feel like they need to come back here because it is slipping away. we also don't know what type of event it will be or where it will be. the columbus, dayton area has been a focus. they want to reinforce ham milt ton county -- hamilton county in cincinnati or collier county in cleveland. we don't know what will happen or what form it will take because
Search Results 0 to 49 of about 51 (some duplicates have been removed)

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